Colorado St.
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
21  Jefferson Abbey JR 31:16
24  Jerrell Mock SO 31:18
174  Spencer Keith FR 32:10
267  Cole Rockhold FR 32:27
369  Carson Hume FR 32:43
448  Grant Fischer SO 32:53
491  Eric Hamer FR 32:58
704  Ricardo Kaempfen JR 33:21
735  Nick Korhumel SO 33:23
880  Adam Hartman JR 33:37
National Rank #18 of 308
Mountain Region Rank #4 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 64.9%
Most Likely Finish 16th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 5.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 42.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 80.1%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jefferson Abbey Jerrell Mock Spencer Keith Cole Rockhold Carson Hume Grant Fischer Eric Hamer Ricardo Kaempfen Nick Korhumel Adam Hartman
Roy Griak Invitational 09/26 557 31:17 31:23 32:44 32:28 32:18 32:21 33:24 34:21
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 600 31:38 31:42 32:22 31:59 32:39 32:49 34:05 33:38 33:22
Rocky Mountain Shootout 10/03 33:30
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 595 31:26 31:29 32:08 32:52 33:12 32:40 32:37
Mountain West Championships 10/30 523 31:52 31:05 31:43 33:25 32:12 33:03 33:06 32:41
Mountain Region Championships 11/13 588 31:13 31:14 32:00 32:30 34:59 33:24 34:10
NCAA Championship 11/21 30:56 31:01





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 64.9% 18.2 463 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.6 3.5 3.5 3.8 4.5 4.1 4.1 3.9 4.4 3.9 3.9 3.7 2.8 2.4 2.2 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1
Region Championship 100% 4.4 120 0.0 6.8 17.4 29.5 26.4 17.2 2.3 0.4



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jefferson Abbey 98.3% 28.6 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.7 1.8 2.3 1.7 1.9 1.8 2.1 2.0 1.6 1.5 1.8 1.4
Jerrell Mock 97.5% 30.4 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.4 1.9 2.1 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.7
Spencer Keith 64.9% 134.1
Cole Rockhold 64.9% 172.6
Carson Hume 64.9% 201.3
Grant Fischer 64.9% 213.6
Eric Hamer 64.9% 219.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jefferson Abbey 5.7 5.4 12.9 10.5 8.4 7.7 7.0 6.2 5.6 5.5 4.1 4.0 3.1 3.0 2.2 2.2 1.8 2.0 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4
Jerrell Mock 6.3 5.0 10.8 10.4 8.2 6.9 6.7 6.9 5.8 5.3 4.9 3.9 3.4 3.2 2.9 2.5 2.1 1.5 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.5
Spencer Keith 26.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 1.4 1.5 2.2 2.2 3.5 3.3 4.4 4.7 4.7 5.5 5.6
Cole Rockhold 34.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 2.2 2.3
Carson Hume 42.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2
Grant Fischer 47.5 0.0
Eric Hamer 49.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 1
2 6.8% 100.0% 6.8 6.8 2
3 17.4% 87.3% 1.9 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.1 2.2 15.2 3
4 29.5% 71.6% 2.1 1.4 1.1 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.7 2.1 2.1 3.4 8.4 21.1 4
5 26.4% 57.2% 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.5 1.8 1.6 2.1 3.0 11.3 15.1 5
6 17.2% 36.4% 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.6 1.4 11.0 6.3 6
7 2.3% 21.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.8 0.5 7
8 0.4% 0.4 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 64.9% 0.0 6.8 1.9 3.1 3.4 2.9 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.3 5.5 5.5 5.9 6.2 9.1 35.1 6.8 58.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Louisville 88.3% 1.0 0.9
Boise State 57.0% 2.0 1.1
Texas A&M 50.0% 1.0 0.5
Texas 38.3% 1.0 0.4
Southern Utah 36.0% 2.0 0.7
Penn 30.0% 1.0 0.3
Minnesota 25.4% 2.0 0.5
Eastern Michigan 22.0% 2.0 0.4
Florida 8.5% 2.0 0.2
Notre Dame 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Cornell 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Stephen F. Austin 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 2.1% 2.0 0.0
Navy 1.5% 1.0 0.0
Washington St. 0.7% 1.0 0.0
UC Santa Barbara 0.5% 2.0 0.0
North Texas 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Yale 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Duke 0.0% 1.0 0.0
New Mexico 0.0% 2.0 0.0
South Dakota St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 5.4
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 16.0